It’s fun times for Canada for the next while. Just thought I would pass on some thoughts about yesterday and what’s to come. Warning: I’m not going to substantiate anything I’m about to say.
- I’m not surprised in the least that the Liberals held onto more riding than expected. A lot of public feedback on radio stations, over the internet and on the television confirmed my suspicion (in my own illogical method) that this was a vote against the Liberals and not for the Conservatives.
- Anyone that thought Belinda was in for the fight of her life gave too much credit to Conservatives in Newmarket-Aurora. Belinda barely won over the Liberals when she was with the Conservatives in 2004. It was essentially her family’s, and her own, reputation that won it for her. This time around she had the combined power of the Liberal support and reputation behind her, handing her a nice comfortable win.
- There was a very nice surprise with the increase in support and seats for the NDP. We (because I officially renewed my membership yesterday) were able to take some Conservatives and Liberal seats. The begging for strategic voting didn’t work for the Liberals this time around and that is probably going to work in our favour in the long run. We have a lot of work ahead of us still to expel our tax-raising, pure socialist image and Layton did a good job of laying out that foundation.
- I expect there is going to be some of Joe Clark’s minority strategy seeping into Stephen Harper’s strategy. However, at least in the beginning, I think Harper will get away with it to some degree. He’s going to automatically bring up the GST cut. Being that no one wants to look like they oppose cutting the GST and no one wants to be blamed for bringing down the House after only a couple months of sitting and putting us through another election, the initial GST cut may get passed.
- I’m guessing it will only be approximately 3 months before the MPs and CPC members who have been around since the Reform and Alliance days completely explode and beginning asking for repayment for their continued allegiance for the last decade-plus. It doesn’t take a genius to know that the social conservatives of the party probably struggled with notion of being silent on issues of SSM, abortion, etc. Now that they are in power, they’re going to come knocking and it’s not going to be quiet too much longer. Good luck dealing with them, Stephen!
- I wonder if the Liberals and New Democrats have toyed with the idea of surprising Harper with a coalition government? I wouldn’t support that idea, but it would be funny if it happened. I would love to see the look on Harper’s face…
- The party who’s going to have the last laugh is the Liberals. I could almost swear that Martin’s resignation was a planned move. As much as it pains me to say it, but as long as we continue to use the undemocratic first-past-the-post system, the Liberals will always be the party people look to first at election time. With that said, the news that will compete and could possibly be more interesting than the Conservative minority, will be the Liberal leadership race. It will be everywhere and be as well known and talked about as this past election. By the time it’s over, and the dust is settled, it will be about time to bring down the House. Going into the next election the Liberals, fresh off the leadership race and probably facing an ineffective Conservative party that has its right wingers all exposed, the Liberals will once again be the party to beat.